The effects of intervention with intravenous edaravone in Study 19 on hospitalization, tracheostomy, ventilation, and death in patients with amyotrophic lateral sclerosis.

INTRODUCTION/AIMS: Intravenous (IV) edaravone is a US Food and Drug Administration-approved treatment for amyotrophic lateral sclerosis (ALS), shown in clinical trials to slow physical functional decline. In this study we compared the effect of IV edaravone (edaravone-first group) versus placebo followed by IV edaravone (placebo-first group) on survival and additional milestone events. METHODS: This work is a post hoc analysis of Study 19/MCI186-19, which was a randomized, placebo-controlled, phase 3 study investigating IV edaravone versus placebo. Study 19 and its 24-week extension have been described previously (NCT01492686). Edaravone-first versus placebo-first group time to events for specific milestone(s) were analyzed post hoc. Time-to-event composite endpoints were time to death; time to death, tracheostomy, or permanent assisted ventilation (PAV); and time to death, tracheostomy, PAV, or hospitalization. RESULTS: The risk for death, tracheostomy, PAV, or hospitalization was 53% lower among patients in the edaravone-first vs placebo-first groups (hazard ratio = 0.47 [95% confidence interval 0.25 to 0.88], P = .02). The overall effect of IV edaravone on ALS progression could be seen in the significant separation of time-to-event curves for time to death, tracheostomy, PAV, or hospitalization. ALS survival composite endpoint analyses (ALS/SURV) suggested a treatment benefit (least-squares mean difference) for the edaravone-first versus the placebo-first group at week 24 (0.15 ± 0.05 [95% confidence interval 0.06 to 0.25], P < .01) and week 48 (0.11 ± 0.05 [95% confidence interval 0.02 to 0.21], P = .02). DISCUSSION: These analyses illustrate the value of timely and continued IV edaravone treatment, as earlier initiation was associated with a lower risk of death, tracheostomy, PAV, or hospitalization in patients with ALS.

Dersimelagon in Erythropoietic Protoporphyrias.

BACKGROUND: Erythropoietic protoporphyria and X-linked protoporphyria are inborn errors of heme biosynthesis that cause elevated circulating levels of metal-free protoporphyrin and phototoxicity. Both disorders are characterized by excruciating phototoxic attacks after exposure to visible light. Dersimelagon is a new, orally administered, selective melanocortin 1 receptor agonist that increases levels of skin eumelanin. METHODS: We conducted a randomized, placebo-controlled, phase 2 trial to investigate the efficacy and safety of dersimelagon with respect to the time to onset and the severity of symptoms associated with sunlight exposure in patients with erythropoietic protoporphyria or X-linked protoporphyria. Patients 18 to 75 years of age were randomly assigned in a 1:1:1 ratio to receive placebo or dersimelagon at a dose of 100 or 300 mg once daily for 16 weeks. The primary end point was the change from baseline to week 16 in the time to the first prodromal symptom associated with sunlight exposure. Patients recorded daily sunlight exposure and symptom data in an electronic diary. Quality of life and safety were also assessed. RESULTS: Of the 102 patients (93 with erythropoietic protoporphyria and 9 with X-linked protoporphyria) who underwent randomization, 90% completed the treatment period. The mean daily time to the first prodromal symptom associated with sunlight exposure increased significantly with dersimelagon: the least-squares mean difference from placebo in the change from baseline to week 16 was 53.8 minutes in the 100-mg dersimelagon group (P = 0.008) and 62.5 minutes in the 300-mg dersimelagon group (P = 0.003). The results also suggest that quality of life improved in patients receiving dersimelagon as compared with placebo. The most common adverse events that occurred or worsened during treatment were nausea, freckles, headache, and skin hyperpigmentation. CONCLUSIONS: At both doses evaluated, dersimelagon significantly increased the duration of symptom-free sunlight exposure in patients with erythropoietic protoporphyria or X-linked protoporphyria. (Funded by Mitsubishi Tanabe Pharma; Endeavor ClinicalTrials.gov number, NCT03520036.).

Associations between the ALSFRS-R score and urate levels during 12 months of edaravone treatment for amyotrophic lateral sclerosis: Post hoc analysis of ALSFRS-R scores in clinical studies MCI186-16, MCI186-17, and MCI186-19.

INTRODUCTION/AIMS: In this study we examined the relationship between urate levels at baseline and functional change measured by the Amyotrophic Lateral Sclerosis Functional Rating Scale-Revised (ALSFRS-R) total score after edaravone treatment. METHODS: Data from the edaravone trials MCI186-16, MCI186-17, and MCI186-19 were analyzed, including the following treatment sequence groups: edaravone-edaravone (EE, n = 113); edaravone-placebo (EP, n = 45); and placebo-edaravone (PE, n = 146). Subgroups were defined as low baseline urate (below the median value of 4.8 mg/dL) and high baseline urate (≥4.8 mg/dL). The differences in ALSFRS-R total score change and urate change were evaluated using the mixed model for repeated measurement for overall population, by urate-level subgroup, and by trial. RESULTS: Compared with the PE group, the EE group showed a slower decline in ALSFRS-R score, regardless of the urate baseline level, and a slower decline in urate level in the higher baseline urate subgroup. Smaller changes in ALSFRS-R score and urate were observed in patients diagnosed with "probable, laboratory-supported ALS." There was a positive correlation between changes from baseline to cycle 12 in urate levels and ALSFRS-R score. DISCUSSION: Edaravone treatment in ALS patients diagnosed with "definite ALS" or "probable ALS" showed slowing of disease progression, regardless of baseline urate level. In addition, because edaravone treatment was associated with a slower decline in urate level in the higher baseline urate subgroup and urate-level changes were associated with changes in ALSFRS-R score, urate level, and/or change may be one indicator in predicting disease progression after edaravone administration.

Associations between urate levels and amyotrophic lateral sclerosis functional score with edaravone treatment: Post hoc analysis of studies MCI186-16, MCI186-17, and MCI186-19.

INTRODUCTION/AIMS: Edaravone in amyotrophic lateral sclerosis (ALS) was analyzed in two phase 3 studies (MCI186-16 and MCI186-19). Those trials enrolled patients with Japanese ALS severity grades 1 and 2 (less severe ALS), but many patients progressed to grades 3 and 4 during the double-blind treatment period. The placebo patients who initiated edaravone treatment in the open-label periods provided an opportunity to assess the effects of edaravone in more severe ALS. This study also assessed the association between ALS Functional Rating Scale-Revised (ALSFRS-R) slope and biomarker changes after open-label edaravone initiation. METHODS: Change in ALSFRS-R slope in placebo patients before and after initiating edaravone treatment was assessed using the random coefficient model. The association of ALSFRS-R change and blood marker changes was explored by the least absolute shrinkage and selection operator (LASSO) method of machine learning. RESULTS: Twenty-four percent of patients (35/146) in the placebo-edaravone group showed ≥25% slowing of decline in the ALSFRS-R slope. Within the 25% slower-decline group, 60% (21/35) had Japanese ALS severity grades 3 or 4 at the start of edaravone treatment. The LASSO model identified serum urate as associated with the percentage change in ALSFRS-R slope. The rate of decrease in urate was smaller in the 25% slower-decline group than in the non-25% slower-decline group during edaravone treatment. DISCUSSION: This post hoc analysis indicated that ALS patients, including those with advanced ALS severity grades, may receive benefit in the group of patients whose urate levels are stable during the course of the edaravone treatment.

Slowing the loss of physical function in amyotrophic lateral sclerosis with edaravone: Post hoc analysis of ALSFRS-R item scores in pivotal study MCI186-19.

INTRODUCTION: Phase 3 study MCI186-19 demonstrated less loss of physical function with edaravone versus placebo, as measured by the revised Amyotrophic Lateral Sclerosis Functional Rating Scale (ALSFRS-R) total score. A 1-point drop in an individual ALSFRS-R item may be clinically meaningful. We assessed ALSFRS-R item score changes to identify clinical features protected by edaravone treatment. METHODS: Time-to-event analysis was used to assess the cumulative probabilities of reductions in ALSFRS-R item scores and Amyotrophic Lateral Sclerosis Assessment Questionnaire (ALSAQ-40) subdomain scores. RESULTS: Edaravone use was accompanied by: (1) delayed drop of ≥1 point in ALSFRS-R item score for four items: salivation, walking, climbing stairs, orthopnea (unadjusted), or for two items: walking, climbing stairs (after Bonferroni correction for multiple comparisons); (2) delayed score transition from 4 or 3 at baseline to ≤2 for five items: swallowing, eating motion, walking, climbing stairs, orthopnea (unadjusted), or for one item: climbing stairs (after Bonferroni correction for multiple comparisons); and (3) delayed worsening of ALSAQ-40 domain scores representing daily living/independence, eating and drinking (unadjusted). DISCUSSION: These post-hoc analyses identified the ALSFRS-R item scores and ALSAQ-40 domain scores that were associated with preserved gross motor function and health-related quality of life, respectively, after edaravone treatment. Limitations of post-hoc analyses should be considered when interpreting these results. We recommend that clinical trials employing the ALSFRS-R include this type of analysis as a pre-specified secondary outcome measure.

Optimal dose selection accounting for patient subpopulations in a randomized Phase II trial to maximize the success probability of a subsequent Phase III trial.

Phase II clinical trials are conducted to determine the optimal dose of the study drug for use in Phase III clinical trials while also balancing efficacy and safety. In conducting these trials, it may be important to consider subpopulations of patients grouped by background factors such as drug metabolism and kidney and liver function. Determining the optimal dose, as well as maximizing the effectiveness of the study drug by analyzing patient subpopulations, requires a complex decision-making process. In extreme cases, drug development has to be terminated due to inadequate efficacy or severe toxicity. Such a decision may be based on a particular subpopulation. We propose a Bayesian utility approach (BUART) to randomized Phase II clinical trials which uses a first-order bivariate normal dynamic linear model for efficacy and safety in order to determine the optimal dose and study population in a subsequent Phase III clinical trial. We carried out a simulation study under a wide range of clinical scenarios to evaluate the performance of the proposed method in comparison with a conventional method separately analyzing efficacy and safety in each patient population. The proposed method showed more favorable operating characteristics in determining the optimal population and dose.

An assessment of treatment guidelines, clinical practices, demographics, and progression of disease among patients with amyotrophic lateral sclerosis in Japan, the United States, and Europe.

BACKGROUND: There is an increasing clinical research focus on neuroprotective agents in amyotrophic lateral sclerosis (ALS). However, it is unclear how generalisable clinical study trial results are between different countries and regions. OBJECTIVE: To assess similarities and differences in clinical practice and treatment guidelines for ALS, and also to compare the demographics and rate of progression of disease in patients with ALS enrolled in clinical trials in Japan, the US, and Europe. METHODS: We performed a review of clinical studies published since 2000 to compare the demographics and characteristics of patients with ALS. Progression of ALS disease was assessed in patients receiving placebo. The changes per month in ALSFRS-R score were calculated and compared between the studies. RESULTS: Overall, diagnostic criteria, recognition of ALS symptoms, comorbidities, use of riluzole, and nutritional, and respiratory support were similar. Regarding demographics and characteristics, there were no clear differences in the incidence of sporadic ALS (range 91-98%), bulbar onset (range 11-41%), and median time from onset to diagnosis (range 9-14 months) among the populations despite the difference in race between regions. However, use of tracheostomy-based invasive respiratory support was higher in Japan (29-38%) than in the US (4%) and Europe (1-31%). Rate of progression of disease was similar between the US and Europe study populations (range -0.89 to -1.60 points/month), and the Japanese study populations (range -1.03 to -1.21 points/month). CONCLUSION: There is evidence to support the generalisability of data from the Japanese ALS trial experience to the US and Europe populations in early to mid-stage of ALS.

Post-hoc analysis of randomised, placebo-controlled, double-blind study (MCI186-19) of edaravone (MCI-186) in amyotrophic lateral sclerosis.

Post-hoc analyses of the ALS Functional Rating Scale-Revised (ALSFRS-R) score data, the primary endpoint in the 24-week double-blind placebo-controlled study of edaravone (MCI186-19, NCT01492686), were performed to confirm statistical robustness of the result. The previously reported original analysis had used a last observation carried forward (LOCF) method and also excluded patients with fewer than three completed treatment cycles. The post-hoc sensitivity analyses used different statistical methods as follows: 1) including all patients regardless of treatment cycles received (ALL LOCF); 2) a mixed model for repeated measurements (MMRM) analysis; and 3) the Combined Assessment of Function and Survival (CAFS) endpoint. Findings were consistent with the original primary analysis in showing superiority of edaravone over placebo. We also investigated the distribution of change in ALSFRS-R total score across all patients in the study as well as which ALSFRS-R items and domains may have contributed to the overall efficacy findings. The distribution of changes in ALSFRS-R total score from baseline to the end of cycle 6 (ALL LOCF) shifted in favour of edaravone compared to placebo. Edaravone was descriptively favoured for each ALSFRS-R item and each of the four ALSFRS-R domains at the end of cycle 6 (ALL LOCF), suggesting a generalised effect of edaravone in slowing functional decline across all anatomical regions. The effect of edaravone appeared to be similar in patients with bulbar onset and limb onset. Together, these observations would be consistent with its putative neuroprotective effects against the development of oxidative damage unspecific to anatomical regions.

Post-hoc analysis of MCI186-17, the extension study to MCI186-16, the confirmatory double-blind, parallel-group, placebo-controlled study of edaravone in amyotrophic lateral sclerosis.

In the 24-week double-blind study of edaravone in ALS (MCI186-16), edaravone did not show a statistically significant difference versus placebo for the primary efficacy endpoint. For post-hoc analyses, two subpopulations were identified in which edaravone might be expected to show efficacy: the efficacy-expected subpopulation (EESP), defined by scores of ≥2 points on all 12 items of the ALS Functional Rating Scale-Revised (ALSFRS-R) and a percent predicted forced vital capacity (%FVC) ≥80% at baseline; and the definite/probable EESP 2 years (dpEESP2y) subpopulation which, in addition to EESP criteria, had definite or probable ALS diagnosed by El Escorial revised criteria, and disease duration of ≤2 years. In the 36-week extension study of MCI186-16, a 24-week double-blind comparison followed by 12 weeks of open-label edaravone (MCI186-17; NCT00424463), analyses of ALSFRS-R scores of the edaravone-edaravone group and edaravone-placebo group for the full analysis set (FAS) and EESP, as prospectively defined, were reported in a previous article. Here we additionally report results in patients who met dpEESP2y criteria at the baseline of MCI186-16. In the dpEESP2y, the difference in ALSFRS-R changes from 24 to 48 weeks between the edaravone-edaravone and edaravone-placebo groups was 2.79 (p = 0.0719), which was greater than the differences previously reported for the EESP and the FAS. The pattern of adverse events in the dpEESP2y did not show any additional safety findings to those from the earlier prospective study. In conclusion, this post-hoc analysis suggests a potential effect of edaravone between 24 and 48 weeks in patients meeting dpEESP2y criteria at baseline.

Post-hoc analysis of open-label extension period of study MCI186-19 in amyotrophic lateral sclerosis.

Study MCI186-19 investigated the safety and efficacy of edaravone in the treatment of ALS. The 24-week, double-blind period was followed by a 24-week, open-label, active extension period. Patients originally receiving edaravone continued edaravone (E-E group, n = 65), and patients originally receiving placebo switched to edaravone (P-E group, n = 58). Because no statistical tests had been prospectively planned in the open-label period, we performed post-hoc analyses to assist in the interpretation of efficacy data. A mixed model for repeated measures (MMRM) and the Combined Assessment of Function and Survival (CAFS) were assessed. Additionally, slopes of time-dependent change between baseline in cycle 1 and the end of cycle 6 (24 weeks double-blind) and between the end of cycle 6 and end of cycle 12 (24 weeks open-label) were calculated using a random coefficient model including all available data during each period. At week 48, the MMRM analysis showed significantly less decline in ALS Functional Rating Scale-Revised (ALSFRS-R) total score in the E-E group than in the P-E group (least-squares mean change from baseline ± standard error, 4.17 ± 1.40, p = 0.0037), meaning that the differences in the ALSFRS-R total score during the 24-week double-blind period were maintained in patients receiving edaravone for an additional 24 weeks. The CAFS endpoint (p = 0.0089) supported this finding. The slope analysis during the double-blind period showed a significant difference between the treatment groups, while there was no significant difference between the groups during the active extension period. These analyses suggest a potential benefit of early and continued edaravone treatment over delayed edaravone treatment.

Bayesian noninferiority test for 2 binomial probabilities as the extension of Fisher exact test.

Noninferiority trials have recently gained importance for the clinical trials of drugs and medical devices. In these trials, most statistical methods have been used from a frequentist perspective, and historical data have been used only for the specification of the noninferiority margin Δ>0. In contrast, Bayesian methods, which have been studied recently are advantageous in that they can use historical data to specify prior distributions and are expected to enable more efficient decision making than frequentist methods by borrowing information from historical trials. In the case of noninferiority trials for response probabilities π1 ,π2 , Bayesian methods evaluate the posterior probability of H1 :π1 >π2 -Δ being true. To numerically calculate such posterior probability, complicated Appell hypergeometric function or approximation methods are used. Further, the theoretical relationship between Bayesian and frequentist methods is unclear. In this work, we give the exact expression of the posterior probability of the noninferiority under some mild conditions and propose the Bayesian noninferiority test framework which can flexibly incorporate historical data by using the conditional power prior. Further, we show the relationship between Bayesian posterior probability and the P value of the Fisher exact test. From this relationship, our method can be interpreted as the Bayesian noninferior extension of the Fisher exact test, and we can treat superiority and noninferiority in the same framework. Our method is illustrated through Monte Carlo simulations to evaluate the operating characteristics, the application to the real HIV clinical trial data, and the sample size calculation using historical data.

Improvement in the productivity of xylooligosaccharides from waste medium after mushroom cultivation by hydrothermal treatment with suitable pretreatment.

The effective xylooligosaccharides (XOs) production from the waste medium after mushroom cultivation (WM) was investigated. The WM contains rich nutrients (protein, etc.) which induce Maillard reaction with reducing sugars under hydrothermal conditions. To improve the productivity of XOs, the suitable pretreatment combined with washing and grinding was investigated, and subsequently hydrothermal treatment was demonstrated with batch type and continuous flow type reactor. The washing pretreatment with hot water of 60 degrees C was effective to remove nutrients from the WM, and it led to prevent brownish discoloration on the hydrothermal treatment. On the basis of experimental data, industrial XOs production processes consisting of the pretreatment, hydrothermal treatment and purification step was designed. During the designed process, 2.3 kg-dry of the purified XOs was produced from 30 kg-wet of the WM (15% yield as dry basis weight). Theoretical yield of XOs attained to 48% as xylan weight in the WM.

Development of continuous flow type hydrothermal reactor for hemicellulose fraction recovery from corncob.

The semi-pilot scale of continuous flow type hydrothermal reactor has been investigated to separate hemicellulose fraction from corncob. We obtained the effective recovery of hemicellulose using tubular type reactor at 200 degrees C for 10 min. From constituent sugar analysis of corncob, 82.2% of xylan fraction was recovered as mixture of xylose, xylooligosaccharides and higher-xylooligosaccharide which has more than DP 10. During purification of solubilized fraction by hydrothermal reaction such as ultrafiltration and ion exchange resin, higher-xylooligosaccharide was recovered as the precipitate. This precipitate was identified as non-blanched xylan fraction which has from DP 11 to DP 21 mainly. In this system, only a small amount of furfural has been generated. This tubular reactor has a characteristic controllability of thermal history, and seems to be effective for sugar recovery from soft biomass like corncob.